The Russian stock market will begin recovery from the second half of 2015
Most likely – since the middle of summer, the telecommunications and consumer sectors will revive somewhat. However, it is not necessary to speak about this with confidence, since almost everything that will happen on the market of the Russian Federation will primarily depend on the sanctions sent by the European Union.
The main reasons for the collapsed RTS dollar index
1) oil drop;
2) The devaluation of the national currency;
The euro and the dollar have become more expensive;
3) The sanctions imposed from the West directed against Russia because of the escalation of the difficult situation in Ukraine;
4) Insufficiently effective ways to support the economic sphere by the monetary authorities.
The opinion of experts
Certain analysts noticed that in the past year, shares of various export industries enjoyed particularly high demand for products that were not affected by changes in world prices. Serious support was received by export industries and from the devaluation of the ruble. In 2014, it is especially worth noting such promotions as:
MMC Norilsk Nickel – an increase of about fifty percent;
Akron – an increase of 62 percent.
According to the results of 2014, they have good financial indicators.
Moreover, unexpectedly on a bad note in the transport sector in 2014 ended the shares of Aeroflot. The reason was:
1. The decrease in passenger traffic;
2. The devaluation of the national currency.
As a result, a decrease in the company’s profit.
At the same time, last year a certain volatility was noted relative to the MICEX index, which was primarily influenced by events taking place in Ukraine. It is planned that next year, before the summer, the index will consolidate, and starting in the fall, the index will be able to overcome the mark of 1550 points. It will help increase the MICEX index, including the restoration of oil prices, as well as the oversold market of the Russian Federation.
Most likely, starting in mid-summer, the telecommunications and consumer sectors will revive somewhat. However, it is not necessary to speak about this with confidence, since almost everything that will happen on the market of the Russian Federation will primarily depend on the sanctions sent by the European Union. At the same time, most analysts are sure that a certain warming will be observed in relations between the Russian Federation and the European Union.
- The impetus for a positive trend is certainly the interest of both parties in strategic cooperation.